Winner and Nominations Predictions Statistics

Table Key:

C=Correct (the number of correct predictions made)
T=Total (the total number of potential nominees in a category)
%=% Correct (the percentage of my predictions that were correct)

Section Links:

"Best of" Records
"Worst of" Records
Grouped Prediction Statistics
Overall Category Statistics
Overall Annual Statistics
Grouped Annual Statistics
The Big Six
Writing Awards
Music Awards
Technical Awards
Documentaries
Short Films

Annual Category Statistics
The Big Six:
Picture
Actor
Actress
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress
Director
Writing Awards:
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Miscellaneous:
Animated Film
Foreign-Language Film
Music Awards:
Original Song
Original Score
Dramatic Score (Archaic)
Comedy/Musical Score (Archaic)

Technical Awards:
Editing
Cinematography
Art Direction
Costume Design
Makeup
Sound/Sound Mixing
Sound Effects/Sound Editing
Visual Effects
Documentaries:
Documentary Feature
Documentary Short Subject
Short Film Awards:
Animated Short Film
Live-Action Short Film

"Best of" Records

BEST ANNUAL RECORDS						BEST CATEGORY RECORDS
WINNERS			NOMINATIONS			WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.	2003 1997 2005 1993 2008	84% 83.3% 76% 73.9% 72%	1. 2. 3. *. 5.	2002 2004 1998 2001 2008	74.5% 74% 72.3% 72.3% 72.1%	1. . 3. 4. 5. .	Actor Orig. Screenplay Animated Film Actress Makeup Sound Editing	90% 90% 87.5% 85% 75% 75%	1. 2. 3. *. 5.	Supp. Actress Actress Actor Adap. Screenplay Supp. Actor	84.6% 81.5% 80% 80% 78.5%

"Worst of" Records

WORST ANNUAL RECORDS						WORST CATEGORY RECORDS
WINNERS			NOMINATIONS			WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. . .	1990 1994 1991 1992 2001 2006 2007	36.4% 39.1% 43.5% 47.8% 52% 52% 52%	1. 2. 3. 4. 5.	1996 2006 2005 1997 2000	63.8% 65.1% 65.3% 67% 68.2%	1. 2. 3. 4. *.	Doc. Short Animated Short Live Short Original Song Art Direction	26.3% 31.6% 42.1% 45% 45%	1. 2. 3. 4. 5.	Doc. Short Foreign Film Sound Editing Original Score Doc. Feature	41.7% 46.2% 55.8% 56% 56%

Grouped Prediction Statistics

COMBINED PREDICTION SUCCESS BY GROUP
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
GROUPS	C	T	%	C	T	%
OVERALL BIG SIX WRITING MUSIC TECHNICAL DOCUMENTARIES SHORT FILMS	287 82 31 24 99 14 14	474 120 40 44 159 38 38	60.5% 68.3% 77.5% 54.5% 62.3% 36.8% 36.8%	875 310 97 87 294 19	1,261 390 130 141 446 37	69.4% 79.5% 74.6% 61.7% 65.9% 51.4%

Overall Category Statistics

Overall Category Statistics
COMBINED PREDICTION SUCCESS BY CATEGORY
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
CATEGORIES	C	T	%	C	T	%
Picture Actor Actress Supporting Actor Supporting Actress Director Original Screenplay Adapted Screenplay Animated Film Foreign Film Original Song Original Score Dramatic Score (Archaic) Comedy/Musical Score (Archaic) Editing Cinematography Art Direction Costume Design Makeup Sound Mixing Sound Editing Visual Effects Documentary Feature Documentary Short Animated Short Live-Action Short	11 18 17 12 11 13 18 13 7 9 9 10 2 3 12 13 9 10 15 11 15 14 9 5 6 8	20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 8 19 20 16 4 4 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 19 19 19 19 19	55% 90% 85% 60% 55% 65% 90% 65% 87.5% 47.4% 45% 62.5% 50% 75% 60% 65% 45% 50% 75% 55% 75% 73.7% 47.4% 26.3% 31.6% 42.1%	50 52 53 51 55 49 45 52 19 30 38 28 12 9 50 50 43 39 22 43 24 23 14 5	65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 26 65 61 50 15 15 65 65 65 65 39 65 43 39 25 12	76.9% 80% 81.5% 78.5% 84.6% 75.4% 69.2% 80% 73.1% 46.2% 62.3% 56% 80% 60% 76.9% 76.9% 66.2% 60% 56.4% 66.2% 55.8% 59% 56% 41.7%

Overall Annual Statistics

COMBINED PREDICTION SUCCESS BY YEAR
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	C	T	%	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	11 8 10 11 17 9 17 13 20 14 16 13 13 14 21 17 19 13 13 18	18 22 23 23 23 23 24 24 24 24 23 23 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25	61.1% 36.4% 43.5% 47.8% 73.9% 39.1% 70.8% 54.2% 83.3% 58.3% 69.6% 56.5% 52% 56% 84% 68% 76% 52% 52% 72%	60 63 68 63 60 68 73 65 74 64 69 73 75	94 94 94 90 88 94 98 95 100 98 106 106 104	63.8% 67% 72.3% 70% 68.2% 72.3% 74.5% 68.4% 74% 65.3% 65.1% 68.9% 72.1%

Grouped Annual Statistics

THE BIG SIX							WRITING AWARDS
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS				WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	C	T	%	C	T	%	YEAR	C	T	%	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	5 3 3 2 5 2 4 4 5 3 6 4 5 2 6 4 5 4 5 5	6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6	83.3% 50% 50% 33.3% 83.3% 33.3% 66.7% 66.7% 83.3% 50% 100% 66.7% 83.3% 33.3% 100% 66.7% 83.3% 66.7% 83.3% 83.3%	21 25 24 21 26 23 24 23 27 24 25 22 25	30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30	70% 83.3% 80% 70% 86.7% 76.7% 80% 76.7% 90% 80% 83.3% 73.3% 83.3%	1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 2 2	2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2	100% 50% 50% 100% 100% 50% 100% 50% 100% 50% 100% 100% 50% 0% 50% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%	4 6 9 8 8 8 8 7 9 8 6 8 8	10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10	40% 60% 90% 80% 80% 80% 80% 70% 90% 80% 60% 80% 80%

MUSIC AWARDS							TECHNICAL AWARDS
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS				WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	C	T	%	C	T	%	YEAR	C	T	%	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 2	2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2	50% 50% 100% 50% 50% 50% 66.7% 66.7% 100% 33.3% 0% 50% 50% 0% 100% 50% 50% 0% 50% 100%	10 11 10 8 5 7 8 4 5 5 4 5 5	15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 10 10 8	66.7% 73.3% 66.7% 80% 50% 70% 80% 40% 50% 62.5% 40% 50% 62.5%	1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	3 2 3 4 7 4 5 4 8 7 5 4 3 7 7 7 6 5 3 5	8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8	37.5% 28.6% 37.5% 50% 87.5% 50% 62.5% 50% 100% 87.5% 62.5% 50% 37.5% 87.5% 87.5% 87.5% 75% 62.5% 37.5% 62.5%	22 20 23 24 19 24 22 24 24 19 19 27 27	34 34 34 35 33 33 33 34 34 34 36 36 36	64.7% 58.8% 67.6% 68.6% 57.6% 72.7% 66.7% 70.6% 70.6% 55.9% 52.8% 75% 75%

DOCUMENTARY AWARDS							SHORT FILM AWARDS
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS				WINNERS
YEAR	C	T	%	C	T	%	YEAR	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	0 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 0 1	0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2	0% 50% 50% 0% 50% 0% 100% 50% 0% 50% 0% 0% 0% 100% 50% 50% 50% 50% 0% 50%	2 4 5 4 4	5 5 9 9 9	40% 80% 55.6% 44.4% 44.4%	1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1	0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2	0% 0% 0% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 0% 100% 50% 50% 0% 50% 0% 50% 50% 0% 50%

Annual Category Statistics

PICTURE
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Driving Miss Daisy The Godfather, Part III Beauty and the Beast The Crying Game Schindler's List Pulp Fiction Babe The English Patient Titanic Saving Private Ryan American Beauty Gladiator A Beautiful Mind Chicago The Lord of the Rings The Aviator Brokeback Mountain Babel No Country for Old Men Slumdog Millionaire	1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 80% 60% 60% 80% 80% 60% 80% 100% 80% 80% 80% 80%

ACTOR
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Daniel Day-Lewis - My Left Foot Jeremy Irons - Reversal of Fortune Anthony Hopkins - The Silence of the Lambs Al Pacino - Scent of a Woman Tom Hanks - Philadelphia Paul Newman - Nobody's Fool Nicolas Cage - Leaving Las Vegas Geoffrey Rush - Shine Jack Nicholson - As Good As It Gets Ian McKellen - Gods and Monsters Kevin Spacey - American Beauty Russell Crowe - Gladiator Denzel Washington - Training Day Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York Sean Penn - Mystic River Jamie Foxx - Ray Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote Forest Whitaker - The Last King of Scotland Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood Sean Penn - Milk	1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 5 4 4 3 3 4 5 4 4 4 3 5	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 80% 100% 80% 80% 80% 60% 100%

ACTRESS
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Jessica Tandy - Driving Miss Daisy Kathy Bates - Misery Jodie Foster - The Silence of the Lambs Emma Thompson - Howards End Holly Hunter - The Piano Jodie Foster - Nell Susan Sarandon - Dead Man Walking Frances McDormand - Fargo Helen Hunt - As Good As It Gets Gwyneth Paltrow - Shakespeare in Love Hilary Swank - Boys Don't Cry Julia Roberts - Erin Brockovich Halle Berry - Monster's Ball Renee Zellweger - Chicago Charlize Theron - Monster Hilary Swank - Million Dollar Baby Reese Witherspoon - Walk the Line Helen Mirren - The Queen Julie Christie - Away from Her Kate Winslet - The Reader	1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	3 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 5 4 5 4 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	60% 80% 80% 80% 100% 80% 80% 60% 100% 80% 100% 80% 80%

SUPPORTING ACTOR
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Denzel Washington - Glory Bruce Davison - Longtime Companion Jack Palance - City Slickers Jaye Davidson - The Crying Game Tommy Lee Jones - The Fugitive Martin Landau - Ed Wood Ed Harris - Apollo 13 Edward Norton - Primal Fear Robin Williams - Good Will Hunting James Coburn - Affliction Michael Caine - The Cider House Rules Benicio Del Toro - Traffic Ian McKellen - The Lord of the Rings Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can Tim Robbins - Mystic River Morgan Freeman - Million Dollar Baby George Clooney - Syriana Eddie Murphy - Dreamgirls Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight	1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	3 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	60% 80% 80% 80% 100% 80% 80% 60% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Julia Roberts - Steel Magnolias Whoopi Goldberg - Ghost Jessica Tandy - Fried Green Tomatoes Joan Plowright - Enchanted April Winona Ryder - The Age of Innocence Dianne Wiest - Bullets over Broadway Mira Sorvino - Mighty Aphrodite Lauren Bacall - The Mirror Has Two Faces Gloria Stuart - Titanic Judi Dench - Shakespeare in Love Angelina Jolie - Girl, Interrupted Kate Hudson - Almost Famous Jennifer Connelly - A Beautiful Mind Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago Renee Zellweger - Cold Mountain Cate Blanchett - The Aviator Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener Jennifer Hudson - Dreamgirls Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton Viola Davis - Doubt	0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 5 4 3 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 100% 80% 60% 80% 80% 100% 80% 100% 80% 100% 80% 80%

DIRECTOR
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Oliver Stone - Born on the Fourth of July Francis Ford Coppola - The Godfather, Part III Oliver Stone - JFK Neil Jordan - The Crying Game Steven Spielberg - Schindler's List Quentin Tarantino - Pulp Fiction Mel Gibson - Braveheart Anthony Minghella - The English Patient James Cameron - Titanic Steven Spielberg - Saving Private Ryan Sam Mendes - American Beauty Ang Lee - Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Ron Howard - A Beautiful Mind Rob Marshall - Chicago Peter Jackson - The Lord of the Rings Martin Scorsese - The Aviator Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain Martin Scorsese - The Departed Joel Coen, Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire	1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	3 3 5 3 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	60% 60% 100% 60% 100% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 60% 60% 80%

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Dead Poets Society Ghost Thelma & Louise The Crying Game The Piano Pulp Fiction The Usual Suspects Fargo Good Will Hunting Shakespeare in Love American Beauty Almost Famous Memento Far From Heaven Lost in Translation Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind Crash Little Miss Sunshine Juno Milk	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	1 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 5 3	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	20% 60% 80% 80% 80% 60% 80% 60% 80% 80% 60% 100% 60%

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Driving Miss Daisy Awakenings Fried Green Tomatoes Howards End Schindler's List The Shawshank Redemption Sense and Sensibility The English Patient L.A. Confidential Gods and Monsters The Cider House Rules Traffic A Beautiful Mind The Hours Mystic River Sideways Brokeback Mountain The Departed No Country for Old Men Slumdog Millionaire	1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	3 3 5 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 3 3 5	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	60% 60% 100% 80% 80% 100% 80% 80% 100% 80% 60% 60% 100%

ANIMATED FILM
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Shrek Spirited Away Finding Nemo The Incredibles Wallace & Gromit Cars Ratatouille WALL-E	1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	2 4 3 2 1 3 2 2	3 5 3 3 3 3 3 3	66.7% 80% 100% 66.7% 33.3% 100% 66.7% 66.7%

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Cyrano de Bergerac - France Raise the Red Lantern - Hong Kong Indochine - France Farewell My Concubine - Hong Kong Strawberry and Chocolate - Cuba Antonia's Line - The Netherlands Ridicule - France Character - The Netherlands Life Is Beautiful - Italy All About My Mother - Spain Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Amelie Nowhere in Africa The Barbarian Invasions The Chorus Tsotsi Pan's Labyrinth Katyn - Poland The Class - France	0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	3 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 3 2 4 3 2	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	60% 20% 40% 40% 40% 40% 60% 20% 60% 40% 80% 60% 40%

ORIGINAL SONG
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Kiss the Girl - The Little Mermaid Sooner or Later - Dick Tracy Beauty and the Beast - Beauty and the Beast A Whole New World - Aladdin Again - Poetic Justice Circle of Life - The Lion King Colors of the Wind - Pocahontas You Must Love Me - Evita My Heart Will Go On - Titanic When You Believe - The Prince of Egypt You'll Be in My Heart - Tarzan Things Have Changed - Wonder Boys If I Didn't Have You - Monsters Inc. I Move On - Chicago Into the West - The Lord of the Rings Al Otro Lado del Rio - The Motorcycle Diaries Travelin' Thru - Transamerica Listen - Dreamgirls Falling Slowly - Once Jai Ho - Slumdog Millionaire	0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 4 2 4 3 4 4 2 3 2 2 2 2	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 3	80% 80% 40% 80% 60% 80% 80% 40% 60% 66.7% 40% 40% 66.7%

ORIGINAL SCORE
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	The Little Mermaid Ghost Beauty and the Beast Aladdin Schindler's List The Lion King The Red Violin Gladiator The Lord of the Rings Catch Me If You Can The Lord of the Rings Finding Neverland Brokeback Mountain Pan's Labyrinth Ratatouille Slumdog Millionaire	1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 2 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 3	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 40% 60% 80% 40% 40% 60% 40% 60% 60%

ORIGINAL DRAMATIC SCORE (ARCHAIC)
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1995 1996 1997 1998	Apollo 13 The English Patient Titanic Life Is Beautiful	0 1 1 0	1 1 1 1	4 4 4	5 5 5	80% 80% 80%

ORIGINAL COMEDY/MUSICAL SCORE (ARCHAIC)
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1995 1996 1997 1998	Pocahontas The Hunchback of Notre Dame The Full Monty Shakespeare in Love	1 0 1 1	1 1 1 1	2 3 4	5 5 5	40% 60% 80%

EDITING
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Driving Miss Daisy Ghost JFK The Crying Game Schindler's List Hoop Dreams Apollo 13 The English Patient Titanic Saving Private Ryan The Matrix Gladiator Moulin Rouge Chicago The Lord of the Rings The Aviator Crash United 93 The Bourne Ultimatum Slumdog Millionaire	0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	5 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 3 2 4 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	100% 60% 80% 80% 80% 100% 80% 80% 80% 60% 40% 80% 80%

CINEMATOGRAPHY
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	The Abyss Dick Tracy JFK A River Runs Through It Schindler's List Legends of the Fall Braveheart The English Patient Titanic Saving Private Ryan American Beauty Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon The Man Who Wasn't There Road to Perdition Seabiscuit The Aviator Brokeback Mountain Children of Men There Will Be Blood The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 4 4 4 3 5 4 3 4 3 3 5 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 80% 80% 80% 60% 100% 80% 60% 80% 60% 60% 100% 80%

ART DIRECTION
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Driving Miss Daisy Dick Tracy Hook Bram Stoker's Dracula Schindler's List Interview with the Vampire Babe Evita Titanic Shakespeare in Love Sleepy Hollow Gladiator The Lord of the Rings Gangs of New York The Lord of the Rings Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events Memoirs of a Geisha Pan's Labyrinth There Will Be Blood The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 2 4 3	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 60% 60% 60% 60% 80% 60% 80% 80% 60% 40% 80% 60%

COSTUME DESIGN
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Driving Miss Daisy Dick Tracy The Addams Family Bram Stoker's Dracula Orlando The Adventures of Priscilla, Queen of the Desert Restoration Hamlet Titanic Shakespeare in Love Topsy-Turvy Quills The Lord of the Rings Chicago The Lord of the Rings The Aviator Memoirs of a Geisha Dreamgirls Sweeney Todd The Duchess	0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	2 2 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 3	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	40% 40% 80% 60% 80% 60% 60% 60% 60% 40% 60% 80% 60%

MAKEUP
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Driving Miss Daisy Dick Tracy Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country Bram Stoker's Dracula Mrs. Doubtfire Mary Shelley's Frankenstein Roommates The Nutty Professor Men in Black Elizabeth Topsy-Turvy How the Grinch Stole Christmas The Lord of the Rings Frida The Lord of the Rings Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events The Chronicles of Narnia Pan's Labyrinth La Vie en Rose The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	2 2 1 3 2 1 0 2 2 2 2 1 2	3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3	66.7% 66.7% 33.3% 75% 66.7% 33.3% 0% 66.7% 66.7% 66.7% 66.7% 33.3% 66.7%

SOUND/SOUND MIXING
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade Dick Tracy Beauty and the Beast Under Siege Jurassic Park Speed Apollo 13 Evita Titanic Saving Private Ryan The Matrix Gladiator The Lord of the Rings Chicago The Lord of the Rings Ray Walk the Line Dreamgirls Transformers The Dark Knight	0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	4 2 3 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 2 3 4	5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5	80% 40% 60% 40% 60% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 40% 60% 80%

SOUND EFFECTS/SOUND EDITING
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade Flatliners Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country Under Siege Jurassic Park Speed Braveheart The Ghost and the Darkness Titanic Saving Private Ryan The Matrix U-571 Pearl Harbor The Lord of the Rings Master and Commander The Incredibles King Kong Letters from Iwo Jima There Will Be Blood WALL-E	1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	0 2 2 3 0 0 2 1 2 1 3 4 4	3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5	0% 66.7% 66.7% 100% 0% 0% 66.7% 33.3% 66.7% 33.3% 60% 80% 80%

VISUAL EFFECTS
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	The Abyss No Award Given Terminator 2: Judgement Day Death Becomes Her Jurassic Park The Mask Apollo 13 Twister Titanic What Dreams May Come The Matrix Hollow Man The Lord of the Rings The Lord of the Rings The Lord of the Rings Spider-Man 2 King Kong Pirates of the Caribbean 2 Transformers The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	1 2 2 2 0 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 3	3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3	33.3% 66.7% 66.7% 66.7% 0% 66.7% 66.7% 100% 33.3% 33.3% 66.7% 66.7% 100%

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	American Dream The Restless Conscience: Resistance to Hitler within Germany, 1933-1945 Changing Our Minds: The Story of Dr. Evelyn Hooker The War Room Freedom on My Mind Anne Frank Remembered When We Were Kings 4 Little Girls The Last Days One Day in September Long Night's Journey Into Day Children Underground Bolwing for Columbine Capturing the Friedmans Born Into Brothels March of the Penguins An Inconvenient Truth Sicko Man on Wire	1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	2 4 3 3 2	5 5 5 5 5	40% 80% 60% 60% 40%

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
	WINNERS			NOMINATIONS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T	C	T	%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Chimps: So Like Us Deadly Deception: General Electric, Nuclear Weapons and Our Environment When Abortion Was Illegal: Untold Stories Defending Our Lives School of the Americas Assassins One Survivor Remembers Cosmic Voyage Alaska: Spirit of the Wild The Personals King Gimp The Man on Lincoln's Nose Sing! Twin Towers Chernobyl Heart Autism Is a World God Sleeps in Rwanda Recycled Life Sari's Mother The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306	0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1	2 1 2	4 4 4	50% 25% 50%

ANIMATED SHORT FILM
	WINNERS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Grasshoppers Strings Mona Lisa Descending a Staircase The Wrong Trousers Frank Kafka's It's a Wonderful Life Runaway Brain Wat's Pig La Vieille Dame et Les Pigeons Bunny The Old Man and the Sea The Periwig-Maker For the Birds The Chubbchubbs! Harvie Krumpet Birthday Boy The Moon and the Son The Little Matchgirl Even Pigeons Go to Heaven Presto	0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
	WINNERS
YEAR	WINNER PREDICTION	C	T
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008	Dear Rosie Last Breeze of Summer Swan Song Down on the Waterfront The Janitor Lieberman in Love Dear Diary Visas and Virtue Election Night My Mother Dreams... Quiero Ser (I Want to Be...) A Man Thing Inja (Dog) Two Soldiers Little Terrorist Our Time Is Up West Bank Story At Night Spielzeugland (Toyalnd)	0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

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